Niki gikurikira ku isoko ryibyuma?

Ibiciro by'ibyuma byo muri Amerika bikomeje kugabanuka kugeza ku ya 9 Nzeri 2022. Igihe kizaza ku bicuruzwa cyavuye ku madolari agera ku 1.500 mu ntangiriro z'umwaka kugira ngo kigurishe hafi $ 810 mu ntangiriro za Nzeri - igabanuka rirenga 40% umwaka ushize Itariki (YTD).

Isoko ry’isi ryacogoye kuva mu mpera za Werurwe kubera ko izamuka ry’ifaranga ryinshi, Covid-19 ifunga mu bice by’Ubushinwa ndetse n’amakimbirane hagati y’Uburusiya na Ukraine byongereye icyifuzo cy’imyumvire idashidikanywaho mu 2022 na 2023.

Amashanyarazi yo muri Amerika yo mu Burengerazuba bwo Hagati Ashyushye (HRC) Icyuma (CRU) gikomezaamasezerano yigihe kizazayagabanutseho 43.21% kuva umwaka watangira, uheruka gufunga $ 812 ku ya 8 Nzeri.

Ibiciro bya HRC byazamutse cyane mu mezi menshi hagati muri Werurwe, kubera ko impungenge zitangwa ku bicuruzwa by’ibyuma n’ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu Burusiya na Ukraine byashyigikiraga isoko.

Icyakora, imyumvire y’isoko yarakomeje kuva hafungwa bikomeye muri Shanghai mu ntangiriro za Mata, bigatuma ibiciro bigabanuka mu byumweru byakurikiyeho.Ikigo cy’imari cy’Ubushinwa cyarangije ku mugaragaro amezi abiri yo gufunga ku ya 1 Kamena kandi gikuraho izindi mbogamizi ku ya 29 Kamena.

Ubukungu bw’Ubushinwa bwazamutse cyane muri Nyakanga, kubera ko icyizere cyarushijeho kwiyongera ndetse n’ubucuruzi bukaba bugenda bwiyongera, nubwo Covid yagiye ikwirakwira mu gihugu hose.

Urashaka kumenya byinshi kubiciro byibicuruzwa byicyuma nukuntu babibona?Muri iki kiganiro, tuzareba amakuru agezweho agira ingaruka ku isoko hamwe n’abasesengura ibiciro by’ibyuma.

Guhungabana kwa geopolitiki bitera isoko ryicyuma gushidikanya

Mu 2021, ibiciro by'ibyuma muri Amerika HRC byazamutse hafi yumwaka.Yatsindiye amateka y’amadolari 1.725 ku ya 3 Nzeri mbere yo kugwa mu gihembwe cya kane.

Ibiciro by'ibyuma byo muri Amerika HRC byahindutse kuva mu ntangiriro za 2022. Nk’uko imibare y’ibiciro by’ibyuma bya CME ibivuga, amasezerano yo muri Kanama 2022 yatangiye umwaka ku madolari 1040 kuri toni ngufi, kandi yagabanutse ku madolari 894 ku ya 27 Mutarama, mbere yo kuzamuka hejuru y’amadolari 1010 ku ya 25 Gashyantare - umunsi umwe nyuma yuko Uburusiya butera Ukraine.

Igiciro cyazamutse kigera ku $ 1,635 kuri toni ngufi ku ya 10 Werurwe kubera impungenge z’ihungabana ry’itangwa ry’ibyuma.Ariko isoko ryarahindutse kubera igisubizo cy’ifungwa ry’Ubushinwa, ryagabanije icyifuzo cy’abakoresha ibyuma byinshi ku isi.

ibyuma-byerekana

Muri Outlook Range Outlook (SRO) yo mu 2022 na 2023, Ishyirahamwe ry’ibyuma ku isi (WSA), urwego rukomeye mu nganda, yagize ati:

Yakomeje agira ati: “Isi yose yatewe n'intambara yo muri Ukraine, hamwe n'ubwiyongere bukabije mu Bushinwa, bituma igabanuka ry'iterambere ry’icyuma gikenerwa ku isi mu 2022.
Ati: “Hariho izindi ngaruka mbi ziterwa no gukomeza kwandura virusi mu bice bimwe na bimwe by'isi, cyane cyane Ubushinwa, ndetse n'izamuka ry’inyungu.Biteganijwe ko gukaza umurego muri politiki y’ifaranga ry’Amerika bizahungabanya ubukungu bwifashe nabi mu bukungu. ”

Mu nyandiko y’urwego rw’ubwubatsi bw’Ubumwe bw’Uburayi mu ntangiriro za Nzeri, umusesenguzi wa ING, Maurice van Sante, yagaragaje ko ibiteganijwe gukenerwa ku isi hose - atari mu Bushinwa gusa - byashyizeho igitutu cyo hasi ku giciro cy’icyuma:

"Kuva iki cyorezo cyatangira mu 2020, ibikoresho byinshi by'ubwubatsi byiyongereye ku giciro. Icyakora, bimwe muri ibyo biciro byahagaze neza cyangwa byagabanutseho gato mu mezi make ashize. Ibiciro by'ibyuma, byagabanutseho gato kubera ku cyifuzo cy'icyuma gike gikenewe kuko iteganyagihe ry'iterambere ry'ubukungu mu bihugu byinshi ryaragabanutse. "

Igihe cyo kohereza: Nzeri-14-2022