Ni iki gikurikiraho ku isoko ry'ibyuma?

Ibiciro by'ibyuma muri Amerika bikomeje kugabanuka cyane kuva ku ya 9 Nzeri 2022. Ibiciro by'ahazaza ku bicuruzwa byagabanutse kuva hafi ku madolari 1,500 mu ntangiriro z'umwaka kugeza ku giciro cya $810 mu ntangiriro za Nzeri - kugabanukaho hejuru ya 40% kugeza ubu (YTD).

Isoko ry’isi ryaragabanutse kuva mu mpera za Werurwe ubwo izamuka ry’ibiciro ryazamukaga, ifungwa rya Covid-19 mu bice bimwe na bimwe by’Ubushinwa ndetse n’amakimbirane hagati y’Uburusiya na Ukraine byose byazamuye ikibazo cy’uko abantu bakenera serivisi z’ubuvuzi mu mwaka wa 2022 na 2023.

Icupa rya Amerika ryo mu Burengerazuba bw'Amajyepfo rikozwe mu byuma bishyushye (HRC) (CRU) rikomezaamasezerano y'ejo hazazayagabanutseho 43.21% kuva umwaka watangira, kuko yaherukaga gufunga ku madolari 812 ku ya 8 Nzeri.

Ibiciro bya HRC byazamutse mu mezi menshi hagati muri Werurwe, ubwo impungenge z’ibicuruzwa ku bijyanye n’ibicuruzwa biva mu byuma n’ibyoherezwa mu mahanga mu Burusiya na Ukraine zashyigikiraga isoko.

Ariko, imitekerereze y’isoko yarahindutse kuva aho hashyizweho itegeko rikomeye ryo gufunga abaturage i Shanghai mu ntangiriro za Mata, bituma ibiciro bigabanuka mu byumweru byakurikiyeho. Ikigo cy’imari cy’Ubushinwa cyarangije ku mugaragaro amezi abiri yo gufunga abaturage ku ya 1 Kamena, kinakuraho andi mategeko ku ya 29 Kamena.

Izamuka ry'ubukungu bw'u Bushinwa ryarushijeho kwiyongera muri Nyakanga, kuko icyizere cyarushijeho kwiyongera kandi ibikorwa by'ubucuruzi birimo kwiyongera, nubwo icyorezo cya Covid cyagaragaye rimwe na rimwe mu gihugu hose.

Urashaka kumenya byinshi ku ibiciro by'ibicuruzwa by'icyuma n'uko bihagaze? Muri iyi nkuru, turareba amakuru agezweho agira ingaruka ku isoko hamwe n'ibyo abasesenguzi bateganya ku ibiciro by'icyuma.

Ubudahangarwa bw'isi muri politiki butuma isoko ry'ibyuma ritameze neza

Mu 2021, ibiciro by'icyuma bya HRC muri Amerika byazamutse cyane mu gihe kinini cy'umwaka. Byageze ku giciro cyo hejuru cyane cya $1,725 ku ya 3 Nzeri mbere yo kugabanuka mu gihembwe cya kane.

Ibiciro by'ibyuma bya HRC muri Amerika byagiye bihindagurika kuva mu ntangiriro za 2022. Dukurikije amakuru ajyanye n'ibiciro by'ibyuma bya CME, amasezerano yo muri Kanama 2022 yatangiye umwaka ku madolari 1,040 kuri toni imwe y'ubusa, maze amanukira ku madolari 894 ku ya 27 Mutarama, mbere yo kongera kuzamuka hejuru y'amadolari 1,010 ku ya 25 Gashyantare - umunsi umwe nyuma y'uko Uburusiya buteye Ukraine.

Igiciro cyazamutse kigera ku madolari 1,635 kuri toni imwe ku ya 10 Werurwe bitewe n’impungenge z’ihungabana ry’itangwa ry’ibyuma. Ariko isoko ryahindutse nk’iribi bitewe n’ifungwa ryakozwe mu Bushinwa, ryagabanyije icyifuzo cy’abaguzi b’ibyuma benshi ku isi.

Mu kiganiro cyayo cya Short Range Outlook (SRO) cya 2022 na 2023, Ishyirahamwe Mpuzamahanga ry’Ibyuma (WSA), ikigo gikomeye mu nganda, cyagize kiti:

“Ikwirakwira ry’intambara yo muri Ukraine ku isi, hamwe n’izamuka rike mu Bushinwa, bigaragaza ko icyizere cy’izamuka ry’ubukungu ku isoko ry’imari ku isi mu 2022 cyagabanutse.”

“Hari izindi ngaruka mbi ziterwa no gukomeza kwiyongera kw’ubwandu bwa virusi mu bice bimwe na bimwe by’isi, cyane cyane mu Bushinwa, no kuzamuka kw’inyungu ku nguzanyo. Gukomera kw’ingamba z’imari za Amerika bizabangamira ubukungu buri mu nzira y’ubukungu bukiri mu nzira z’ubukungu.”

Mu nkuru ivuga ku rwego rw'ubwubatsi mu ntangiriro za Nzeri, inzobere mu by'ubwubatsi muri ING, Maurice van Sante, yagaragaje ko ibyo abantu biteze kugabanuka kw'ibikenewe ku isi yose - atari mu Bushinwa gusa - byari bigabanya igitutu ku giciro cy'icyuma:

"Kuva icyorezo cyatangira mu 2020, ibikoresho byinshi by'ubwubatsi byazamutse ibiciro. Ariko, bimwe muri ibyo biciro byarahagaze cyangwa byaragabanutseho gato mu mezi make ashize. Ibiciro by'ibyuma, cyane cyane, byagabanutseho gato bitewe n'icyitegererezo cy'ibiciro by'ibyuma bizagabanuka mu gihe ibiteganijwe ku iterambere ry'ubukungu mu bihugu byinshi bigabanuka."

Igihe cyo kohereza ubutumwa: 14 Nzeri 2022